# Probability

• ### Lebowitz on the Lottery

I figure you have the same chance of winning the lottery whether you play or not.

Fran Lebowitz, (1950 - )

• ### Tan on Luck versus Chance

… how can you say luck and chance are the same thing? Chance is the first step you take, luck is what comes afterwards.

Amy Tan (1952 - )

• ### Mourning Dove on Chance

Life is a gamble, a chance, a mere guess. Cast a line and reel in a splendid rainbow trout or a slippery eel.

Mourning Dove (1884 – 1936)

• ### Tyler on Chance

I love to think about chance — about how one little overheard word, one pebble in a shoe, can change the universe.

Anne Tyler (1941 - )

• ### Manley on Revealing Secrets

Time and chance reveal all secrets.

Delarivier Manley (1663 – 1724)

• ### Huggan on Poker

What I love about poker is the tension, not the actual winning or losing, but the tension between random chance and changeless numbers. Slap, slap, slap, slap, cards dealt and destiny beckons, two-and-a-half million different hands in a deck.

Isabel Huggan (1943 - )

• ### Evans on Uncertainty

Ignorance gives one a large range of probabilities.

Mary Anne Evans  (1819 – 1880)

• ### Smith on Conditional Probability

Did you know that people who meet at least three different times within a twenty-four hour period are ninety-eight percent more likely to meet again?

Jennifer E. Smith (1980 - )

• ### Geiringer on Building Knowledge

Indeed, whatever we propose relates to a certain state of our knowledge, factual knowledge as well as epistemology.

Hilda Geiringer (1893 – 1973)

• ### Availability Heuristic

by Lawrence Mark Lesser

We don’t readily see
ourselves
as replaceable, exchangeable objects,
arbitrary members of a population.

We’re thinking: without loss
of generality, let the person be
me who today matches a birthday,
wins the lottery or falls in love.