Probability

  • When the weather predicts 30 percent chance of rain, rain is twice as likely as when 60 percent chance is predicted.

    Thomas Parry (1947 - )

  • If there is a 50-50 chance that something can go wrong, then 9 times out of 10 it will.

    Paul Harvey (1918 - 2009)

  • How come you never read a headline like 'Psychic Wins Lottery'?

    Jay Leno (1950 - )

  • Just think of all the billions of coincidences that don't happen.

    Dick Cavett (1936 - )

  • The generation of random numbers is too important to be left to chance.

    Robert R. Coveyou (1915 - 1996)

  • The theory of probabilities is simply the science of logic quantitatively treated.

    Charles Saunders Peirce (1839 - 1914)

  • The words "model" and "mode" have, indeed, the same root; today, model building is science a la mode.

    Abraham Kaplan (1918 - 1993)

  • Chance is only the measure of our ignorance.

    Jules Henri Poincare (1854 - 1912)

  • Lyric ©2001 Lawrence Mark Lesser
    may sing to tune of "Happy Birthday to You" (Mildred J Hill and Patty Smith Hill)

    Happy birthday to you--
    Bring another 22:
    Then we'll have even chances
    Of a match in this room...
    Or many more!

    Happy birthday to me--
    Bring another two-fifty-three:
    Then I'll have even chances
    Someone matches with ME...
    Or many more!

  • Lyric copyright Mark Glickman
    may sing to tune of "Mr. Tambourine Man" (Bob Dylan)

    Hey Probability Man, flip a coin for me,
    I don't study and I never really learned how to.
    Hey Probability Man, roll those dice for me,
    As you're walking to your classroom I'll come following you.

    Help me take the steps to compute a cdf,
    Calculate a pmf, to derive an mgf,
    and take limits from the left, just learning terms
    won't help my understanding.
    How hard can it be to integrate a density,
    or to calculate a mean, or infer what is not seen,
    I promise to learn Calculus.

    Hey Probability Man, pick a card for me,
    I don't study and I never really learned how to.
    Hey Probability Man, spin that wheel for me,
    As you're walking to your classroom I'll come following you.

    My memory is gone when the process is Poisson,
    Or even Gaussian; my transforming is undone
    With the wrong Jacobian, my mind's made up,
    I need to understand you.
    Teach me all you know, teach me now I cannot wait
    to learn how to correlate, or when one should integrate,
    I want to learn everthing.

    Hey Probability Man, flip a coin for me,
    I don't study and I never really learned how to.
    Hey Probability Man, roll those dice for me,
    As you're walking to your classroom I'll come following you.

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