Essentially, all models are wrong, but some are useful. This quote is generally attributed to George Box. It appears in "Empirical Model-Building and Response Surfaces" (Wiley 1987) p. 424 by George E.P. Box & Norman R. Draper.
It is now proved beyond doubt that smoking is one of the leading causes of statistics. Quote found in "Reader's Digest" (December, 1961) by journalist Fletcher Knebel (1911-1993)
That's not an experiment you have there, that's an experience. Ronald A. Fisher (1890-1962.) Quoted in "Statistics", third edition, by David Freedman, Robert Pisani, and Roger Purves (Norton, 1998)
This video is an example of what is known in psychology as selective attention. When a person is instructed to only focus on the number of times a ball is passed between players wearing a white shirt it is sometimes difficult to see what else is going on.
This lesson plan uses the Birthday Paradox to introduce basic concepts of probability. Students run a Monte Carlo simulation using the TI-83 graphing calculator to generate random dates, and then search for matching pairs. Students also perform a graphical analysis of the birthday-problem function. Key Words: Permutations; Explicit Function; Recursive Function; Modeling.
This text document is a detailed index of the Against All Odds video series. This detailed index allows instructors to quickly find stories that can be used in the classroom. The author also includes the his ratings of which video segments are useful in the classroom. The actual videos are viewable online and are also indexed in CAUSEweb.
This free online video program "lays out the parts of the confidence interval and gives an example of how it is used to measure the accuracy of long-term mean blood pressure. An example from politics and population surveys shows how margin of error and confidence levels are interpreted. The program also explains the use of a formula to convert the z* values into values on the sampling distribution curve. Finally, the concepts are applied to an issue of animal ethics."
This free online video program "explains the basic reasoning behind tests of significance and the concept of null hypothesis. The program shows how a z-test is carried out when the hypothesis concerns the mean of a normal population with known standard deviation. These ideas are explored by determining whether a poem "fits Shakespeare as well as Shakespeare fits Shakespeare." Court battles over discrimination in hiring provide additional illustration.
