February Results:
The February caption contest cartoon is shown above. The judges found the winning caption to be “Humpty Dumpty sat on a wall: Tried to eggstrapolate, but had a fall! All the king’s horses, women, and men couldn’t do modeling with that small n!” submitted by Larry Lesser from The University of Texas at El Paso. Larry’s caption illustrates the dangers of extrapolation beyond the range of the data and that making reliable predictions from models requires an adequate sample size to estimate parameters. An honorable mention this month goes to Jim Alloway from EMSQ Associates for the caption "The analysts headed for cover when their unmaintained model unEGGspectedly broke.,” to help in discussing the idea that predictive models must be updated with current data to remain effective. A second honorable mention goes to an anonymous submission for the caption “Humpty's upward trend wasn't what it was cracked up to be,” that can be used to discuss the dangers of predicting future events from past performance.
Thanks to everyone who submitted a caption and congratulations to our winners!