Revising probabilities according to new information: A fundamental stochastic intuition


Book: 
The Second International Conference on Teaching Statistics, 1986
Authors: 
Borovcnik, M. G.
Editors: 
Davidson, R., & Swift, J.
Category: 
Pages: 
298-302
Year: 
1986
Publisher: 
The Second International Committee on Teaching Statistics
Place: 
Victoria, B.C.
Abstract: 

In what follows I will try to sketch some phenomena of misunderstanding ideas of probability, and give some comments on the interplay between mathematics and intuitions which I think represents the origin of lack of comprehension. A brief overview of the favor concept should enable the impression that by way of teaching this concept probabilistic reasoning could be improved.

The CAUSE Research Group is supported in part by a member initiative grant from the American Statistical Association’s Section on Statistics and Data Science Education