Chance News 96

Quotations

"The world is a messy place. The scientific method imposes some order, but in the case of climate change, that order is probabilistic. For the sake of science and the planet, we should not become distracted by a false sense of certitude. Imprecise truths are the most inconvenient ones."

Gernot Wagner and Martin L. Weitzman, in: Inconvenient uncertainties, New York Times, 10 October 2013

Submitted by Bill Peterson

Let's make an XKCD

Thanks to Brian Abend for sending the following cartoon from XKCD

The Monty Hall problem just won't stay solved. Here's another recent appearance in the news

Stick or switch? Probability and the Monty Hall problem, BBC News Magazine, 11 September 2013