Chance News 109: Difference between revisions
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==Quotations== | ==Quotations== | ||
"We’ve reached ''that'' stage of the campaign. The back-to-school commercials are on the air, and the 'unskewing' of polls has begun — the quadrennial exercise in which partisans simply adjust the polls to get results more to their liking, usually with a thin sheen of math-y words to make it all sound like rigorous analysis instead of magical thinking." | |||
<div align=right>--Harry Enten, in :[http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-arent-skewed-trump-really-is-losing-badly/ The polls aren’t skewed: Trump really is losing badly], FiveThirtyEight.com, 9 August 2016 </div> | |||
Submitted by Bill Peterson | |||
==Forsooth== | ==Forsooth== | ||
Revision as of 16:04, 22 August 2016
Quotations
"We’ve reached that stage of the campaign. The back-to-school commercials are on the air, and the 'unskewing' of polls has begun — the quadrennial exercise in which partisans simply adjust the polls to get results more to their liking, usually with a thin sheen of math-y words to make it all sound like rigorous analysis instead of magical thinking."
--Harry Enten, in :The polls aren’t skewed: Trump really is losing badly, FiveThirtyEight.com, 9 August 2016
Submitted by Bill Peterson
Forsooth
"The LSAT predicted 14 percent of the variance between the first-year grades [in a study of 981 University of Pennsylvania Law School students]. And it did a little better the second year: 15 percent. Which means that 85 percent of the time it was wrong."
--Lani Guinier, in: The Tyranny of the Meritocracy: Democratizing Higher Education in America (Beacon Press 2015), p. 19.
Submitted by Margaret Cibes