Chance News 7: Difference between revisions

From ChanceWiki
Jump to navigation Jump to search
Line 12: Line 12:


<blockquote>Texas beats Ohio State in their opening game  
<blockquote>Texas beats Ohio State in their opening game  
of the season (Saturday Sept 10 2002).  One of the sportscasters (Brent Musburger on play-by-play and Gary Danielson on analysis) observed that of the 14 teams who have  
of the season (Saturday Sept 10 2002).  One of the sportscasters (legendary Brent Musburger on play-by-play or Gary Danielson on analysis) observed that of the 14 teams who have  
previously played in the championship game (at the end of each season) 5  
previously played in the championship game (at the end of each season) 5  
have suffered an earlier defeat.  "Thus," they conclude, "Ohio State can  
have suffered an earlier defeat.  "Thus," they conclude, "Ohio State can  
still make it to the championship game, but their chances are now less  
still make it to the championship game, but their chances are now less  
than 59%."</blockquote>
than 50%."</blockquote>


===Discussion===
===Discussion===


What is wrong with this?
What is wrong with this?

Revision as of 13:23, 26 September 2005

Sept 26 2005 to Oct 15 2005

quotation

While writing my book [Stochastic Processes] I had an argument with Feller [Introuction to Probability Theory and its Applications]. He asserted that everyone said "random variable" and I asserted that everyone said "chance variable." We obviously had to use the same name in our books, so we decided the issue by a stochastic procedure. That is, we tossed for it and he won.

Joe Doob
Statistical Science

Forsooth

Peter Winkler suggested our first forsooth.

Texas beats Ohio State in their opening game

of the season (Saturday Sept 10 2002). One of the sportscasters (legendary Brent Musburger on play-by-play or Gary Danielson on analysis) observed that of the 14 teams who have previously played in the championship game (at the end of each season) 5 have suffered an earlier defeat. "Thus," they conclude, "Ohio State can still make it to the championship game, but their chances are now less

than 50%."

Discussion

What is wrong with this?