Sandbox: Difference between revisions

Revision as of 22:50, 7 January 2014

Submitted by Paul Alper

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 ==Quotations==
-: ''I beseech you, in the bowels of Christ, think it possible that you may be mistaken.''  --Oliver Cromwell
+[http://www.nytimes.com/2013/12/26/health/common-knee-surgery-does-very-little-for-some-study-suggests.html?hpw&rref=health Common knee surgery does very little for some, study suggests]<br>
+by Pam Belluck, ''New York Times'', 25 December 2013
-'''Cromwell's rule''', named by statistician Dennis Lindley,[1] states that the use of prior probabilities of 0 or 1 should be avoided, except when applied to statements that are logically true or false. For instance, Lindley would allow us to say that Pr(2+2 = 4) = 1, where Pr represents the probability. In other words, arithmetically, the number 2 added to the number 2 will certainly equal 4.
-<div align=right>  in: [http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cromwell's_rule Cromwell's rule], from Wikipedia</div>
 Submitted by Paul Alper