Chance News 10: Difference between revisions
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<blockquote> The weather man is never wrong. Suppose he says that there's an 80% chance of rain. If it rains, the 80% chance came up; if it doesn't, the 20% chance came up! - Saul Barron | <blockquote> The weather man is never wrong. Suppose he says that there's an 80% chance of rain. If it rains, the 80% chance came up; if it doesn't, the 20% chance came up! - Saul Barron | ||
.</blockquote> | .</blockquote> | ||
From: [http://ourworld.compuserve.com/homepages/Rainer_Wuerlaender/statquot.htm Stastical Quotations] | |||
From: | ==Literary License== | ||
"'Four million ... heard it. Ten percent remember it. One percent of those matter. One percent of those do something about it. That's still' - he does the math - 'four people.'" | |||
From: _The Betrayal_, by Sabin Willett, NY: Villard (Random House), 1998. | |||
Submitted by Margaret Cibes | |||
==Forsooth== | ==Forsooth== | ||
Revision as of 22:23, 27 November 2005
Quotation
The weather man is never wrong. Suppose he says that there's an 80% chance of rain. If it rains, the 80% chance came up; if it doesn't, the 20% chance came up! - Saul Barron .
From: Stastical Quotations
Literary License
"'Four million ... heard it. Ten percent remember it. One percent of those matter. One percent of those do something about it. That's still' - he does the math - 'four people.'" From: _The Betrayal_, by Sabin Willett, NY: Villard (Random House), 1998.
Submitted by Margaret Cibes
Forsooth
Ed Barbeau edits a very nice column called Fallacies, Flaws, and Flimflam in the College Mathematic Journal. In ´ ed's column in the November 2005 issue of the Journal, Norton Starr provides a contribution called "Logarithmic behaviour as metaphor". Norton provides examples from a wide variety of writers saying that something is growing laragithmically when they meant growing exponentially. Here are his three contributions from the New York Times:
to be continued